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Bayesian Statistics

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Bayesian Statistics

What is Bayesian Statistics?

Bayesian Statistics is a computational method that addresses numerical problems with probabilities. It provides the tools to evident new data that update the benefits.

One of the key features of Bayesian statistics is its ability to combine prior distributions—representing existing knowledge or beliefs about a parameter—with likelihood functions, derived from observed data. The outcome of this combination is the posterior distribution, which reflects the updated beliefs after considering the new evidence. This process of updating beliefs is particularly valuable in fields where data may be sparse or noisy, as it enables the integration of different sources of information.

Bayesian Statistics Uses

Bayesian inference is a statistical inference process in which theorem of Bayes is used to modify a hypothesis likelihood as more data or knowledge becomes available. Setting parameters and models is an essential part of Bayesian Inference.

Any supervised machine learning algorithm’s objective is to estimate better the mapping function (f) for the output variable (Y) given the input data (X). The mapping function is often referred to as the target function, as it is the function to be approximated by a given supervised machine learning algorithm. The predictive errors are -

  • Bias error

  • Variance error

  • Irreducible error

Bayesian models help strike a balance between bias and variance by incorporating prior knowledge and continuously refining predictions. This framework provides better control over uncertainty, helping in applications such as fraud detection, stock market prediction, recommendation systems, and medical diagnostics. By leveraging Bayesian statistics, organizations can make data-driven decisions while effectively managing uncertainty and improving overall performance. This adaptability makes Bayesian statistics a powerful tool in the ever-evolving landscape of data analysis and machine learning.